Karela

The edge is preparation and place. Vision's own coach, Alfred Nelson, admits his side had limited preparation time because of fixture-date confusion, and they travel to Tamale, where Karela are unbeaten in the two previous home meetings between these clubs — one win, one draw. With the pair level on 10 points, home advantage and a settled build-up look like the separator.

The honest risk is how little else there is to go on: no team news, no recent scorelines, and two sides evenly matched on points is the classic shape of a tight, low-scoring draw. Still, every fact available points one way. The bet: Karela to win.