Washington Wizards under 105.5 points

Washington's situation points to a quiet night with the ball. They are playing the second game of a back-to-back, and Anthony Davis remains out with a sprained ankle, removing their main interior presence at both ends. Against an Oklahoma City side the market rates as clear double-digit favourites, tired legs and a shortened rotation tend to show up first in scoring rhythm, and the matchup table has the Wizards as the league's heaviest underdogs of the night.

The honest risk is pace: if Oklahoma City turn it into a track meet, or the benches trade cheap points once the game is decided, Washington could still creep past the line. I expect the fatigue and the Davis absence to keep them below it. The bet: Washington Wizards under 105.5 points.