Under 3.5 goals

Sixteen names sit on this fixture's absentee list, Ángel Di María among them with a groin problem and J. Antonini serving a red-card ban, so neither bench runs deep tonight. Rosario Central start as heavy home favourites, and that shape usually brings a controlled match: the favourite scores, manages the lead and a short-handed visitor offers little in reply.

The honest risk is the goal line itself: the market leans towards goals, and an early strike could drag Estudiantes out and open the game up. Even so, I see the total staying beneath four. The bet: under 3.5 goals.