Under 3.5 goals

The H2H data is screaming: last 10 Intercontinental Derbies — only 30% went Over 2.5, only 30% saw BTTS. These are knife-fight games, not shootouts. Both teams in form (Gala WWLWW, Fener 3 straight wins) = nobody risks anything. Fener missing Asensio, Aké, Müldür, Oosterwolde — they won't open up away. Gala have Osimhen (6 goals) and won the last one 3-0, so the market will price goals emotionally. The sharp side is the Under. Side lean if you need one: Gala DNB (home + Fener's gutted defense), never the straight win in a derby.