Over 1.5 goals

Nairobi United's recent football is my guide here: a 3–2 defeat away to Murang'a Seal on 28 October, then a 1–1 home draw with APS Bomet three days earlier. Four goals, then two, both clearing this line, and the pattern is a side that scores and concedes. No absentees are reported on either side, so nothing points to a shutdown.

The honest risk is Bandari: I know nothing of them beyond the long trip from Mombasa, and if Nairobi's winless run breeds caution a single goal beats me. Still, only two goals are needed and every recent Nairobi match has produced them. The bet: over 1.5 goals.