Correct score prediction
Before you predict a correct score, look at what actually happens. This is how often each football score has come up in the matches FreakBets has a final score for, the price that would make each one a fair bet, and how the bet settles. It is a count, not a pick.
What the results say
Early sampleFrom 7 September 2026 to 10 November 2026, FreakBets recorded the final score of 565 football matches, in every league and cup it follows. The most common score was 2–0: 56 of them, 9.9%.
Under 1,000 matches, each share can still move by a point or two as more are recorded.
How often each score happens
The home side's goals first. Fair price: the decimal price at which backing that score in every match counted would have broken even.
- 2–09.9%10.09
- 1–19.2%10.87
- 1–27.8%12.84
- 1–07.4%13.45
- 2–16.9%14.49
- 3–15.5%18.23
- 2–25.5%18.23
- 0–15.0%20.18
- 0–24.6%21.73
- 3–04.2%23.54
- Other scores34.0%—
Home wins 48.3%, draws 20.4%, away wins 31.3%.
Each league gets a row of its own here once 100 of its matches are on file. None has that many yet.
What a correct score bet is
You name the exact score at the end of normal time. A bet on 2–1 wins only if the home side wins by exactly two goals to one: 1–2 loses, 3–1 loses, and so does every other score. A match can end in dozens of different scores and only one of them is right, which is why the prices are long and why the bet loses far more often than it wins.
How it settles
On the score after 90 minutes and stoppage time. Extra time and penalties do not count: a cup tie that stands at 1–1 when normal time ends is a 1–1 for this bet, whoever goes through. The scores counted on this page are read the same way. How a tip settles
What a fair price is
Take a score that comes up in 10 of every 100 matches. At a price of 10.00 a one-unit bet on it in all 100 would return exactly the 100 units staked: that is its fair price, 100 divided by the share. At 8.00 the same bets return 80, a loss of a fifth of everything staked. A bookmaker's price is below the fair one, and the gap is its margin. The fair price column in the table is that sum, done on the real counts.
What members tip instead
FreakBets members do not post correct-score tips. The tips on the site are on the match result, double chance, draw no bet, goals over or under, both teams to score and handicaps, each posted before kick-off and settled in public, losses kept.
Questions
Is there a sure correct score prediction?
No. The table on this page shows why: even the score that comes up most often is the wrong pick in most matches. Anyone selling a fixed or sure correct score is selling something that does not exist.
Does extra time count for a correct score bet?
No. A correct score bet is settled on the score after 90 minutes and stoppage time. A cup tie that is 1–1 at the end of normal time is a 1–1 for this bet, whatever happens in extra time or on penalties.
Why are correct score odds so high?
Because a match can end in dozens of scores and only one of them wins the bet. The price follows how seldom each score happens, and the fair price column shows what each would be with no bookmaker margin taken out.
Do FreakBets members post correct score tips?
Not at present. Members tip the match result, double chance, draw no bet, goals over or under, both teams to score and handicaps, and every one of those tips is settled in public. This page is the arithmetic behind correct scores, not a pick.
Where do these numbers come from?
From the final scores FreakBets records to settle tips: every finished football match it follows, counted once, on the score at the end of normal time. Nothing is estimated or modelled.
Information, not advice. What happened in past matches does not predict the next one. 18+ · Responsible gambling