Shamrock Rovers −2 (handicap)

Top of the table at home against a relegated side that hasn't won in 16 matches — this is as one-sided as this league produces. Rovers still have everything to play for, Sligo have nothing left. These end-of-season fixtures are where the leaders run up the score, because there's no resistance left in the away dressing room. Once the first goal goes in, the heads drop and the game opens up completely.

Rovers at home don't grind these out 1-0. They control possession, they pin weak sides in, and they keep coming for ninety minutes. Against a team that's forgotten what winning feels like, a two-goal cushion is the floor here — three is the standard. The quality gap between first place and a relegated squad is enormous, and it shows most in the final third where Sligo simply can't live with the movement and pace.

The straight win pays nothing, so we take the margin. -2 at 1.74 is the bet.