3-leg acca

Barcelona Over 2.5 team goals @ 1.45 — Barca are the most reliable leg on the card. They've scored 20 in their last five (a 7-2 and a 5-1 in there), hit over 2.5 in five straight, and Getafe barely threaten going forward, so they sit deep and invite the exact pressure that turns into three. The only reason it's not a lock is Raphinha missing and the short price — but the form genuinely outpaces the line.

Chelsea vs Bournemouth Over 2.5 @ 1.65 — the more volatile but fairly-priced leg. Combined xG sits around 2.6, just clearing the line, and Bournemouth actually score (Tavernier and João Pedro both on 3), so Chelsea don't need to bag all three alone. Chelsea's leaky defence (fresh off a 3-0 at Brentford) keeps the door open, but their bluntness is the risk — it could be an open 2-1 as easily as a dull 1-1.

Bayern -1.5 @ 1.41 — the trap. Bayern are clearly the better side, but Musiala is out, they've managed just two goals across their opening two away games, and Augsburg beat them in their last meeting — no pushovers. At 1.41 you need a two-goal margin 71% of the time, and the recent H2H simply doesn't support that. If you want Bayern, take the team total over instead of the -1.5.