Draw

Both squads arrive thinned out. Gençlerbirliği are without Ousmane Diabate, Kévin Rodrigues, Niasse and Adama Traore, with Peter Etebo and Dimitrios Goutas doubts, while Alanyaspor travel without Maestro, Fatih Aksoy and Paolo Fernandes. Strip that much quality from both sides and I read this as a tight, low-margin game, a 1-1 type scoreline the likeliest single outcome.

The honest risk, as I see it: draws are the hardest result to land, and home advantage gives Gençlerbirliği a real chance of edging a coin-flip game. Even so, with both attacks missing key men, a share of the points looks the right side of the price. The bet: the draw.