Mathare United (draw no bet)

Ulinzi Stars are winless through four rounds: two draws, two defeats, two points, and a 1-0 midweek loss to Kenya Police on top. Mathare United come off a 2-1 win over Mara Sugar, and the market prices the visitors as favourites away from home, which fits everything the table says. Draw-no-bet cover suits a tight early-season match.

The honest risk is how thin Round 5 evidence is: Mathare's away form is not on the sheet, and a home side desperate for a first win can dig out a result. Even so, every fact available leans the visitors' way. The bet: Mathare United (draw no bet).