Mirassol or draw

Corinthians' absentee list is the story of this game. Memphis Depay, Jesse Lingard, Vitinho, Kayke, Alex Santana, Raniele, Gabriel Paulista and Zakaria Labyad are all unavailable, eight senior players with most of the attacking depth among them. The confirmed eleven leans almost entirely on Rodrigo Garro and Yuri Alberto for punch, while Mirassol arrive missing only José Aldo and Negueba, with Reinaldo anchoring a settled side.

The honest risk is that Corinthians are still at home with enough quality to nick a tight match, and depleted sides sometimes rally. Even so, having two of the three results on my side against that treatment room is the right position. The bet: Mirassol or draw.