Brighton over 3.5 goals

Brighton vs Kauno Žalgiris: Brighton Over 3.5 Goals

Brighton come into this game in strong form. They've won their last four matches, scoring 13 goals and conceding just 2. That's more than three goals a game. They also beat Tromsø 4–0 on aggregate to reach the league phase.

Kauno Žalgiris have been badly exposed by better European sides. They lost 7–1 on aggregate to Dinamo Zagreb and 3–1 to Beşiktaş, conceding 10 goals in four qualifiers. Brighton are a level above both of those teams.

This is Kauno's first league-phase game in European history and their first competitive match against an English club. They also like to play out from the back. Against Brighton's high press, that should lead to turnovers deep in Kauno's half and plenty of chances.

Even with some rotation, Brighton's squad depth and home advantage at the Amex should be too much for Kauno. Four or more Brighton goals is a strong pick.