Under 2.5 goals

Palmeiras travel to São Januário needing only a draw to advance, and that shapes everything: expect a compact block, a slow tempo and little reason to chase the game. They arrive without Paulinho, Ramón Sosa and Jefté, which blunts their attacking options and reinforces a cautious approach.

Vasco must win, but they are without the suspended Alan Saldivia and the injured Cauan Barros and Carlos Cuesta, so committing numbers forward carries its own danger. The honest risk is a desperate late push opening the tie up. The bet: under 2.5 goals.