Utah Jazz +1.5 (spread)

The market has the Pelicans -1.5 favorites. ESPN's BPI model projects the Jazz to win outright by 4.6 — 64% straight-up probability. That's a 6-point gap between the model and the line. When a serious model says a team wins and the books are giving you points with them, that's the definition of value. Jazz +1.5 for safety, Jazz ML for the real return — the model says they win the game.