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Minnesota Timberwolves
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Dallas Mavericks

Minnesota Timberwolves under 115.5 points

1.93
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The injury list is where I think this game turns. Minnesota are without Anthony Edwards and Donte DiVincenzo, the two guards who drive their offence, while Dallas arrive at 7-4 with only fringe absences. Yet the scoring line still asks the Timberwolves for 116 points, a number that belongs to their full-strength profile at 8-3.

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Full reasoning

The injury list is where I think this game turns. Minnesota are without Anthony Edwards and Donte DiVincenzo, the two guards who drive their offence, while Dallas arrive at 7-4 with only fringe absences. Yet the scoring line still asks the Timberwolves for 116 points, a number that belongs to their full-strength profile at 8-3.

The honest risk is that Minnesota's supporting cast absorb the extra usage at home and the points come anyway; a side still favoured by 5.5 can clear this mark without its star. My read is that losing both backcourt scorers takes too much shot creation away. The bet: Minnesota Timberwolves under 115.5 points.

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