Philadelphia 76ers (moneyline)

Charlotte's treatment room decides this for me. Coby White is out with a calf strain, Grant Williams with a hamstring problem and Kon Knueppel with a hamstring strain, three genuine rotation losses on top of their two-way absentees. Even with Joel Embiid rested, Philadelphia are still favoured on the road, which says plenty about how thin the Hornets now are.

The honest risk is that Embiid's absence dents the visitors' ceiling and keeps this tight to the end, so it is a lean rather than a statement. The bet: Philadelphia 76ers to win.