Over 2.5 goals

Ikorodu City are unbeaten at home this season — three wins and two draws — and host an Inter Lagos side bottom of the NPFL, in the relegation places, with one win and four defeats from five away matches. That 13th-versus-20th gap points to a comfortable home win, the kind that usually brings goals with it.

The honest risk is that this is a Lagos derby: Inter Lagos have drawn two of their last five and can dig in, and a narrow 1-0 or 2-0 home win beats this line. The balance of form, though, says the hosts score freely, and even a 2-1 lands this. The bet: over 2.5 goals.