Las Palmas (draw no bet)

Las Palmas host Eldense in a mid-table Segunda clash on Monday night, and the draw no bet on the home side is the sensible way to attack this one.

Las Palmas have found their rhythm again with back to back wins in their last run, and the underlying numbers back them at home. The expected goals model has them clearly ahead at 1.63 to 0.94, which tells you they create more and concede less than Eldense right now. Eldense arrive with a patchy run of two wins and two defeats, and they have been far less convincing away from home all season.

Thirteenth against fifteenth with three points between them means this stays competitive, so the straight home win carries risk. That is exactly why draw no bet makes sense. If Las Palmas edge it as the numbers suggest, we collect. If the game gets stuck in a tight stalemate, the stake comes back and we move on.

Las Palmas draw no bet is the play.